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Evaluation of a wind-wave system for ensemble tropical cyclone wave forecasting. part I: Winds
A computationally efficient method of producing tropical cyclone (TC) wind analyses is developed and tested, using a hindcast methodology, for 12 Gulf of Mexico storms. The analyses are created by blending synthetic data, ...
Probability distributions and threshold selection for monte carlo-type tropical cyclone wind speed forecasts
Probabilistic wind speed forecasts for tropical cyclones from Monte Carlo-type simulations are assessed within a theoretical framework for a simple unbiased Gaussian system that is based on feature size and location error ...