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Evaluation of a wind-wave system for ensemble tropical cyclone wave forecasting. part I: Winds
A computationally efficient method of producing tropical cyclone (TC) wind analyses is developed and tested, using a hindcast methodology, for 12 Gulf of Mexico storms. The analyses are created by blending synthetic data, ...
Probability distributions and threshold selection for monte carlo-type tropical cyclone wind speed forecasts
Probabilistic wind speed forecasts for tropical cyclones from Monte Carlo-type simulations are assessed within a theoretical framework for a simple unbiased Gaussian system that is based on feature size and location error ...
Local adjustment of the background error correlation for surface analyses over complex terrain
The terrain between grid points is used to modify locally the background error correlation matrix in an objective analysis system. This modification helps to reduce the influence across mountain barriers of corrections to ...
Near-real-time applications of a mesoscale analysis system to complex terrain
Several mesoscale data analysis systems are reviewed, of which one is then adapted and applied to the complex terrain of northwest Utah and the western United States. The analysis system relies on the simple, but computationally ...